How to better predict the results of a football match: 5 tips you didn’t know

Many bettors rely on their intuition when predicting the result of a football match. Sometimes, your gut feeling can be helpful, but not when there’s your money at stake. For better results, you need to think strategically, analyse every facet of the game and learn how to manage your emotions. Most punters rely on past results or gut, but experienced ones know that a systematic approach is the key to success. Here are some tips on how to improve your football predictions:

1. Look beyond recent form

The majority of punters are guilty of just checking the last five games of a team before wagering. Recent form is important, but does not give the whole picture. Instead, you can ask yourself the following questions and then decide your wager. 

1. Were the games against worse or better opponents?
2. Was any player injured or suspended?
3. Were the games one right after the other, exhausting the players?

Let’s say a side has won their last five matches, but all these wins were against lower-ranked teams, then their form might not be as good as it looks on paper when they face a top team.

2. Analyze Head-to-Head records the right way

It’s natural to consider how two teams have gotten along against each other in the past, but it can be more complicated than it seems. Football teams do change, and results two or three years ago may not be so relevant today.

Instead, focus on:

• The very latest matches (last season or two).
• Whether the matches were at home or away.
• The clash of style of play (some teams cannot play against defensive teams, while others do well against attacking teams).

For example, a mid-table team in the Premier League can fall into the habit of beating a top team simply because their style of play is suited to counter the better team.

3. Weather and pitch conditions are more important than you think

Weather can have a dramatic effect on a match, yet most punters overlook it. Rain and snow create slippery pitches, and these make passing hard and help defending teams. 

There are also some sides that struggle on artificial pitches or lower-quality pitches. If a technically proficient side used to playing on immaculate grass suddenly discovers that it has to play on a dirty dried-up pitch, its game will be appalling.

1. Fatigue and distance traveled

Footballers are not machines—human beings that tire and have distance traveled influence their form. If a team has played an exhausting game in the middle of the week, they may not be fully recovered for their weekend match. This mostly applies to teams that take part in international competitions like the Champions League. Imagine an Argentine team playing in Bolivia (high altitude) or an English team playing in Russia: you can expect less than great results due to travel fatigue and diverse climatic conditions. While analyzing a match, ask yourself if a team has had a decent recovery time and if they’ve had to travel for long hours. 

1. The psychological factor: motivation & pressure

A mid-table side that has already cemented their spot for the season may not be as aggressive in their game as a relegation side trying to survive the league. On the other hand, a team that has already qualified for the next round might rest top players and go through the motions. Knowing a team’s motivation can be the difference maker in being able to predict outcomes.

For instance, a title-challenger against a team with nothing to lose may appear to be a certainty, but the underdog could be more determined to “produce a surprise”. 

How the Betwinner App can help you make better football predictions

The Betwinner app is a handy companion for football punters, with live stats, live odds, and detailed analysis to help you through your gambling journey, no matter if you’re a complete beginner or a punter with years of experience. It takes just about one minute to get Bet Winner App here and you can take advantage of: 

Live Data & In-Play Betting: If you want to view a match live and analyze it, the Betwinner app provides you with live statistics of ball possession, shots on goal, and other details that can help you alter your predictions.

Odds Comparison: The app provides you with competitive odds on markets, making it easy to find the best value for your bet.

Access to Various Leagues: From Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, to lower leagues, Betwinner provides a tremendously extensive range of competitions.

Cashout Option: In case of a match not unfolding as expected, the app supports the option to cash out and minimize losses.

Overall

Football betting is not a matter of guesswork—it is a matter of making informed choices founded on data, trends, and more in-depth analysis. Taking into account such factors as fatigue, motivation, pitch conditions, and playstyle matchups, you can place smarter moves and get closer to winning. Thanks to apps like the Betwinner, you can even upgrade your strategy with live stats and better odds to remain on top of your game.